'When we faced a possibility here in New York of chemical and biological attack - I called in all of the experts - academic experts and doctors who had dealt with anthrax, doctors who had dealt with various forms of chemical and biological attack.'

- New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani

Cornell COVID-19 Caseload Calculator with Capacity and Ventilators (C5V)

This tool is designed to make an easily modifiable projection of med/surge and ICU bed requirements over an outbreak of specified type, for a specified catchment area and your hospital system’s market share of that area. It requires making estimates of some things that are very hard to pin down, but the dynamics of your system may be informed by the work of infectious disease specialists and modelers in your midst. To download the calculator and documentation, follow this link: Cornell COVID Caseload Calculator C5V (spreadsheet) and/or Cornell COVID Caseload Calculator C5V Online.

For additional information and support, call +1 (610) 841-1618.

For a comparative analysis of our C5V models – spreadsheet and online versions – with others see this Cambridge University Press paper: “COVID-19 Models for Hospital Surge Capacity Planning: A Systematic Review“.

Note: “The parameter values detailed … for the outbreak scenarios represent the professional and scientific judgments as values that would be appropriate to use
for planning. Substantial scientific uncertainty remains around nearly all of these parameters.” — Planning Parameters for COVID-19 Outbreak Scenarios

Flu Planner

Flu Planner is an easy-to-use, online Hospital Resources Planning simulation model that helps users plan for influenza epidemics and similar surge events.

Inputs are patient arrival rate, age mix, flow, length of stay and resource usage rates.

The model simulates patient flows and calculates and displays critical resource requirements. Output can be saved for further analysis and use.

Flu Planner can be accessed here.

For additional information and support, call +1 (610) 841-1618.

Note: Adobe Flash Player must be enabled to use Flu Planner.

Hospital Inventory Profile Simulator

Many hospitals opt for daily replenishment of medical supplies from one or two large distributors. These distributors reap the benefits of scale by merging orders from different hospitals and negotiating discounts with suppliers. They also exploit the benefits of demand pooling: reducing inventory by centralizing safety stock and allocating it only as demand is revealed.

Large hospital systems, consisting of multiple hospitals and a network of clinics, also have the scale to exploit these benefits but are sometimes content to leave supply chain operations in the hands of the distributors. The Hospital Inventory Profile Simulator is a tool to challenge this arrangement. It allows the systematic evaluation of product categories to uncover opportunities for economic gain by centralizing safety stock in these categories within a hospital system. The tool builds on standard data collected from the hospital system material management and features a wide array of configurable options for what-if analysis.

Hospital Response Logistics Model

The Hospital Response Logistics Model provides decision-makers with a tool to analyze how a given set of human and material resources, and a set of policies governing their deployment, will respond under “normal” conditions and also under extreme circumstances.

The model can be used to:

- Evaluate performance under a variety of resource limitations and identify requisite resources to provide an acceptable level of performance.
- Establish a framework for decision-making and policy formulation relative to a range of mass casualty incidents.
- Inform the development of a real-time operational system by identifying needed real time and historical transactional data, communication and collaboration technology tools.
- Provide a mechanism for training administrators, operational coordinators, and public health and governmental officials.